The Mets Need Better At-Bats, Not Better Excuses

The Mets are not just losing. They’re losing in a way that makes you want to throw the remote hard enough to crack drywall.

This lineup looks rushed, jumpy, and way too willing to help the pitcher. The Dodgers exposed it all week. New York managed just three runs in that series, got finished off 8-2 on Wednesday, and now drags an eight-game losing streak into Wrigley. That is not a “small sample weirdness” conversation anymore. That is a team-wide offensive problem staring everybody in the face.

The standings make it worse. Atlanta is already 12-7 with a +44 run differential, while the Mets are sitting at 7-12 and -14. That gap is not just a bad week. That is a difference in quality of baseball, quality of at-bats, and quality of execution.

The maddening part is that the ingredients are not all rotten. Francisco Alvarez has been one of the few real bright spots so far, putting up a 163 wRC+, a .271/.386/.542 slash, and carrying actual impact at the plate. Luis Robert Jr. has at least been playable with a 115 wRC+ and a .371 OBP, but Francisco Lindor has opened at a 71 wRC+ with a .184/.287/.289 line. That is not enough from your engine room.

Then you get to the swing decisions. Brett Baty has run a 38.5% chase rate with just 79.0% zone contact and a 28.9% whiff rate. Jorge Polanco is at a 32.3% chase rate. That’s the stuff that turns innings into ash. It is not just about missing hittable pitches. It is about offering at the wrong ones and letting pitchers dictate the whole damn evening.

So tonight is not only about ending the losing streak. It is about seeing whether this offense can slow the game down. Make Cabrera throw strikes. Work counts. Get traffic. Stop trying to hit a five-run homer with the bases empty like it’s backyard ball in 1988.

Mets Daily Schedule
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs
Friday, April 17, 2026 • 1:20 PM CT • Wrigley Field
Mets
7-12
Last in NL East
@
Cubs
9-9
4th in NL Central
Tonight’s Story
The Mets arrive in Chicago on an eight-game losing streak after scoring only three runs in a three-game sweep by the Dodgers. Tonight is less about drama and more about whether this offense can stop expanding the zone and start acting like it has a pulse.
NL East Quick Hitters
Where the division stands right now
Team W L GB Run Diff RMF Read
Braves 12 7 +44 Best team in the division right now, no debate.
Marlins 9 10 3.0 +2 Still hanging around, which is annoying.
Nationals 9 10 3.0 -10 Chaos team. Runs everywhere, order nowhere.
Phillies 8 10 3.5 -25 Not exactly setting the division on fire either.
Mets 7 12 5.0 -14 Still alive, but the offense has to wake up now.
Mets Matchup
Tonight’s pitching matchup and what matters
Mets Starter
Record: 0-2
ERA: 7.07
Strikeouts: 19
Cubs Starter
Record: 1-0
ERA: 1.62
Strikeouts: 13
What Decides This Game
Senga needs to get ahead and keep the ghost fork in chase counts, not hitter’s counts. On the other side, Cabrera has been sharp early, so the Mets absolutely cannot give away plate appearances by expanding the zone and rolling over early in counts.
What’s Next
Next three probable starters
Date Matchup Mets SP Opponent SP
Fri 4/17 @ Cubs Kodai Senga Edward Cabrera
Sat 4/18 @ Cubs Freddy Peralta Jameson Taillon
Sun 4/19 @ Cubs David Peterson Javier Assad
Mets at Cubs • Projection Model
Tonight’s Projection Picks
RandomMetsFans.com
Hitter Pick
Francisco Alvarez
1-2 Hits
Best current bat in the lineup by wRC+ and slash line.
Hitter Pick
Luis Robert Jr.
1 Hit + Run Created Chance
OBP has held up even while the lineup around him has sagged.
Hitter Pick
Francisco Lindor
Bounce-Back RBI Shot
The numbers are bad, but this is the type of spot where stars usually stop bleeding.
Starter Projection
Kodai Senga
5.0-6.0 IP | 6-8 K | 2-3 ER
This only holds if he gets ahead early. The raw swing-and-miss is still there, but the Mets need cleaner command and less traffic.
Model note: projections are based on current form, opponent context, role, and available early-season production indicators, not magic fairy dust.

Why this matters for Mets fans

The good news is the division under Atlanta still looks like a food fight. The bad news is the Mets are contributing to it by showing up with a spoon.

This team does not need a dramatic clubhouse speech or a fake-hustle quote for the cameras. It needs better swing decisions, better sequencing, and somebody other than Alvarez carrying the offense like a guy dragging a couch up three flights of stairs. If the Mets start controlling counts again, this can stabilize. If they keep chasing, then this ugly April starts turning into something with teeth.

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